Se studiemi, které nejsou zrovna milé k vládám a jejích šíleným krokům ohledně „pandemie“ se roztrhl pytel. Psali jsme o té ze Standfordu, podle níž jsou lockdowny k ničemu. Dnes se k nám dostala jiná, která posuzuje ztracené roky života dětí ve vztahu ke ztraceným letům života těch, kdo na koronavirus zemřeli. Studie by měla by zajímat každého rodiče, který má svoje děti aspoň trochu rád. Vědci totiž dospěli k následujícímu závěru: kdyby se nechaly školy otevřeny, ztracené roky života by ve výsledku byly nižší.
Podrobnější výsledky studie
RESULTS A total of 24.2 million children aged 5 to 11 years attended public schools that were closed during the 2020 pandemic, losing a median of 54 (interquartile range, 48-62.5) days of instruction. Missed instruction was associated with a mean loss of 0.15 (95% credible interval [CI], 0.08-0.22) years of final educational attainment for boys and 0.12 (95% CI, 0.06-0.19) years for girls. Summed across the population, based on the RR from US studies, an estimated 13.8 million (95% CI, 2.5-42.1) YLL may be associated with school closures. Summed across the population, based on the RR from the European studies, an estimated 0.8 million (95% CI, 0.1 -2.4) YLL may be associated with school closures. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported a total of 88 241 US deaths from COVID-19 through the end of May 2020, with an estimated 1.50 million (95% CI, 1.23-1.85 million) YLL as a result. Had schools remained open, an estimated 4.4 million (95% CI 2.29-6.41,) YLL could have been expected as a result, based on results of studies associating school closure with decreased pandemic spread. Comparing the full distributions of estimated YLL under both “schools open” and “schools closed” conditions, based on the US studies and the European studies, the analysis observed a 98.9% probability and a 26.3% probability, respectively, that school opening would have been associated with a lower total YLL than school closure.
CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE In this decision analytical model of years of life potentially lost under differing conditions of school closure, based on the US studies, the analysis favored schools remaining open. Future decisions regarding school closures during the pandemic should consider the association between educational disruption and decreased expected lifespan and give greater weight to the potential outcomes of school closure on children’s health.